BITCOIN and ETHEREUM – Reversal or Downturn ahead (what the graphs say…)
Technical analysis Bitcoin and Ethereum to dollar in april 2025. Resilient BTC during markets downturns and good entrance on ETH

Bitcoin and Ethereum: Technical Opportunities Amid Market Turmoil

Despite the recent global stock market crash, cryptocurrencies — especially Bitcoin and Ethereum — have shown remarkable resilience, suggesting that a significant long-term opportunity may be forming.
In this article, we analyze monthly, weekly, and daily charts of both assets, highlighting technical patterns that point to possible reversals and upward targets.

Bitcoin: Uptrend Remains Intact Despite Volatility

On the monthly chart, Bitcoin remains above the 20-period moving average, forming higher highs and higher lows. Even after a substantial correction, BTC respected the region near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, a zone often associated with trend continuation.

Comparison with NASDAQ: While the NASDAQ dropped 25% from its peak, Bitcoin fell only 32% — a far more modest decline than in previous cycles, where BTC often lost 50% or more. This shows a more mature and less volatile technical behavior than expected.

On the weekly chart, a possible double bottom and a forming bullish pivot can be seen, supported by increasing volume. If Bitcoin breaks the resistance around $88,000, it could retest its all-time high, with a projected target of $93,000.

 

Ethereum: 70% Decline and a Potential Technical Reversal

Ethereum has dropped 70% from its all-time high and is now testing a critical region: the 2018 top.
On the monthly chart, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) is around 40, a level historically associated with major bottoms. Technically, ETH is still in a downtrend on the weekly chart, with lower highs and lower lows — but this structure may be about to reverse.

If Ethereum breaks the descending trendline (LTB) and forms a bullish pivot, it could start a new uptrend. The 38% Fibonacci retracement of the last bearish leg suggests a potential upside of up to 70%, and a return to the all-time high would represent a 240% gain.

Long-Term Strategy: Better Than Catching a Falling Knife

The current moment could be ideal for those following a Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy — making regular contributions at attractive price zones without trying to time the market bottom.

Example: Someone investing $200 monthly in Ethereum could now consider increasing the allocation to lower their average cost, since the asset is in a technically significant zone with strong asymmetry favoring buyers.

 

Confluence Between Charts and Volume

Ethereum’s technical structure shows:

  • The monthly chart has room to recover toward the 20-period moving average.

     

  • Fibonacci retracement indicates clear targets at 38% and 50%.

     

  • The weekly chart could form a bullish pivot with a trendline breakout.

     

  • Volume is increasing, strengthening the potential reversal.

     

Conclusion: Bitcoin and Ethereum at a Critical Juncture

While Bitcoin remains technically healthy and points to a continuation of its uptrend, Ethereum presents one of the most asymmetric setups in recent years, with the potential for high returns without leverage.

Whether you’re a long-term investor or a trader watching technical timing, the charts suggest that the next big move might be near — as long as bullish patterns are confirmed.

-> Check out the video: